Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.593210 1.729133 1.873190 2.037566 2.220333 2.417761 2.647761
2026-01-11 1.404761 1.593752 1.805495 2.061589 2.364629 2.713882 3.149873
2026-01-18 1.278938 1.499081 1.756111 2.080995 2.484411 2.973786 3.619922
2026-01-25 1.178924 1.417945 1.706344 2.084135 2.572227 3.190300 4.046451
2026-02-01 1.078856 1.324679 1.629252 2.040046 2.588496 3.308522 4.347655
2026-02-08 1.002171 1.252901 1.570862 2.010950 2.616077 3.436990 4.667414
2026-02-15 0.943077 1.198382 1.529049 1.997710 2.659954 3.586399 5.025889
2026-02-22 0.911900 1.177604 1.529042 2.039149 2.780191 3.850099 5.575958
2026-03-01 0.865959 1.133458 1.493567 2.026909 2.820264 3.997372 5.959521
2026-03-08 0.819485 1.085509 1.449285 1.997874 2.831534 4.099566 6.278261
2026-03-15 0.766319 1.025187 1.383824 1.932908 2.782499 4.102390 6.430042
2026-03-22 0.739455 1.000464 1.367494 1.939280 2.842656 4.281188 6.897261
2026-03-29 0.717573 0.982255 1.360252 1.959928 2.928440 4.511751 7.488045
2026-04-05 0.697833 0.966066 1.354922 1.982875 3.019253 4.758324 8.138173
2026-04-12 0.678424 0.949225 1.347409 2.001374 3.103320 4.999735 8.807716
2026-04-19 0.656600 0.927574 1.331179 2.004366 3.160607 5.197758 9.415959
2026-04-26 0.625590 0.890522 1.289182 1.962368 3.136493 5.244840 9.721510
2026-05-03 0.600088 0.860763 1.257067 1.934645 3.134990 5.332689 10.121612
2026-05-10 0.579667 0.837969 1.234809 1.922028 3.159215 5.470627 10.646485
2026-05-17 0.571784 0.834363 1.242925 1.961513 3.280898 5.808095 11.662821
2026-05-24 0.553660 0.813752 1.222411 1.949851 3.306114 5.955253 12.260287
2026-05-31 0.533370 0.788876 1.193780 1.922185 3.298780 6.034868 12.706700
2026-06-07 0.507473 0.754058 1.147294 1.860262 3.221326 5.961979 12.768163